Frankie Edgar believes his edge in high-level experience will make the difference on Saturday against Pedro Munhoz in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar. The future Hall of Famer gets a chance to prove it when he makes his bantamweight debut against the division’s fifth-ranked contender. Their fight headlines the marquee at the Apex facility in Las Vegas, with the main UFC Fight Night card slated for 8:30 p.m. ET. Edgar, the former lightweight champion, remains confident he has another title run left in him at UFC on ESPN.

However, the motivated Munhoz seeks a win to bolster the pursuit of his first title. Munhoz is a -240 favorite (risk $240 to win $100), while Edgar is a +200 underdog in the latest Edgar vs. Munhoz odds from William Hill. In the co-main event, Alonzo Menifield (-125) and Ovince St. Preux (+105) meet in a light heavyweight battle. Before making any UFC Fight Night picks of your own, make sure you check out what SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley has to say, considering the epic run he’s on.

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every single UFC card and does extensive research before each event. 

Over the past 18 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up nearly $20,000. The accomplished MMA analyst has been on fire as he has connected on 16 of his last 19 main-event selections, a stretch that included a streak of five straight underdogs. At UFC 252 last Saturday, Marley accurately predicted a decision victory for Vinc Pichel (-125) against Jim Miller (+105) in their action-packed lightweight bout behind his spot-on assessment that Pichel would flourish in the final round. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up. 

Now, with UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every fight. Those selections are only available here. 

Munhoz vs. Edgar preview

Marley knows the 33-year-old Munhoz (18-4-1) has been considered a potential title-contender since his UFC debut in February 2014. All four of his UFC losses have come against fighters who are still ranked, with three of them in the top 10. 

The Brazil-born Californian had perhaps the biggest win of his career when he knocked out former titleholder and third-ranked Cody Garbrandt in March of last year. But he was outclassed three months later by the second-ranked Sterling, who now appears to be in line for a title bout against new champion Petr Yan. 

Marley also knows Edgar (23-8-1) is widely regarded as a UFC legend who has been involved in numerous memorable bouts. He won the lightweight championship in 2010 against fellow icon B.J. Penn and made three successful defenses before dropping a pair of bouts against Benson Henderson, who is now in Bellator. 

But the New Jersey native is just 1-3 in his last four appearances, with the lone victory coming against fading former contender Cub Swanson. He was stopped by Chan Sung Jung in the first round of their December bout and also suffered a first-round knockout loss in 2018 against Brian Ortega, who is ranked No. 2 at featherweight. You can see all of Marley’s Munhoz vs. Edgar picks here.

Top UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar predictions

We’ll share one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night predictions here: He is backing Matthew Semelsberger (+120) to defeat Carlton Minus (-140) in a welterweight matchup.

The 27-year-old Minus (10-1) has torn through the competition in his home state’s Alaska Fighting Championship with a 9-0 mark. His lone professional defeat came in August 2018 in the Professional Fighters League against Rick Story, a 19-fight UFC veteran who left the promotion following a loss to Donald Cerrone in 2016. The Alaska native has seven stoppages among his 10 professional MMA victories. 

Semelsberger (6-2) will make his UFC debut behind three consecutive victories that include two straight stoppages. In February, the 27-year-old Maryland native knocked out Richard Patishnock in the first round of their Art of War Cage Fighting bout. 

“Semelsberger looks like the more dangerous striker and the bigger fighter,” Marley told SportsLine. “This is a decent spot for the underdog.”

How to make UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. Munhoz picks

Marley also has strong picks for Edgar vs. Munhoz and every other bout on the UFC Fight Night card. He is also backing one fighter who “will dominate every second.” Those selections are only available here. 

Who wins Edgar vs. Munhoz? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. Munhoz, all from the incomparable expert who’s up nearly $20,000 on MMA in the past 18 months and nailed 16 of the last 19 main events, and find out.

UFC Fight Night odds

Pedro Munhoz (-240) vs. Frankie Edgar (+200)
Alonzo Menifield (-125) vs. Ovince St. Preux (+105)
Mike Rodriguez (-220) vs. Marcin Prachino (+190)
Daniel Rodriguez (-175) vs. Takashi Soto (+155)
Mizuki Inoue (-165) vs. Amanda Lemos (+145)
Joe Solecki (-140) vs. Austin Hubbard (+120)
Mariya Agapova (-1,100) vs. Shana Dobson (+700)
Dwight Grant (-165) vs. Jared Gooden (+145)
Ike Villanueva (-115) vs. Jorge Gonzalez (-105)
Timur Valiev (-500) vs. Mark Striegl (+400) 
Dwight Grant (-400) vs. Calen Born (+280)
Ike Villanueva (-120) vs. Jordan Wright (-100)