The final London game of the year is set for bright and early Sunday morning, and that game looms large for our exotic plays this week.
On the Pick Six Podcast, which you can check out below, we all agree the London game is going to be high-scoring, and that’s why we made it the first leg of our weekly parlay. Will Brinson and R.J. White also think the Jaguars are going to win outright as short ‘dogs, and White is also using them in his teaser of the week, which is on a roll after a slow start to the season.
If you’re just looking for straight picks, you can check out Brinson’s best bets in his Friday column and White’s SportsLine selections for Week 9.
You can hear more about all our best bets, leans and more with Pete Prisco on Friday’s Pick Six Podcast. Give it a listen below and be sure to subscribe on your favorite podcast platform:
If you want to get in on the parlay action, make sure to sign up for Parlay Pick ‘Em to play every week for a million-dollar jackpot and our $10K season prize.
Odds via Westgate as of Friday.
Pick Six Podcast parlay of the week
Packers -3.5 at Chargers
Texans-Jaguars Over 46.5
Ravens-Patriots Under 45
Odds: +630
Now 0-8 on the season, this is bound to hit. It’s DUE. That’s how picking games work. Eventually, you just stumble into a parlay that hits. We all love the over in the London game. It’s easy to get behind a Ravens-Pats under any day of the week, especially when it’s in the mid-40s. And fading the Chargers at home against a white-hot Aaron Rodgers? Gimme, gimme.
Brinson’s ML underdog parlay
Ravens +140 vs. Patriots
Jaguars +105 vs. Texans in London
Dolphins +150 vs. Jets
Odds: +1130
I mentioned two of these teams in my Friday column that I like against the spread, and if you like a team against the spread as a dog, you better believe they can win. I think both of these teams can in fact win. And the Dolphins catching three against a bad Jets team is a perfectly viable spot for them to pick up their first W in a revenge game against Adam Gase. The one issue with a Dolphins upset is that you’re only getting +150 for it. I would be fine tossing in the Steelers instead if you’re more comfortable with that, or just adding the Steelers as a fourth team to really crank up the payout.
White’s ML underdog parlay
Jaguars +105 vs. Texans in London
Bears +190 at Eagles
Odds: +500
The Jaguars are an obvious pick after their appearance in the DVOA section of my betting tips column, but there isn’t much out there I like as a second team. I went with the Bears here because that was a relatively big lookahead move as well, with the Eagles only favored by three before Sunday’s results, but I don’t love it.
Brinson’s 6.5-point teaser
Jaguars +8 vs. Texans in London
Ravens +9.5 vs. Patriots
Lions +9 at Raiders
Odds: +140
I actually believe all these teams will win their respective games outright, so maybe this is the wrong exotic to play on them! (A moneyline parlay on these three dogs would actually pay just over 10-1 so feel free to jump on that as well.) But if you tease these teams up 6.5 points each, you should take out the luck that comes into play in NFL games as well as any bad beat.
The Texans, Raiders and Patriots could all blow out these teams, but the Jaguars have a surprisingly good offense, while Houston is decimated by injury. Detroit and Oakland should get into a shootout in this game and I really don’t see the Raiders defense being completely able to stop the Lions from storming in the backdoor and covering nine points. Pittsburgh can keep it within a touchdown regardless of who is at QB. And the Ravens are not going to just get blown out by the Patriots at home in prime time. I refuse to believe it.
White’s six-point teaser
Jaguars +7.5 vs. Texans in London
Cowboys -1 at Giants
Odds: -140
The Jaguars make another appearance, so a blowout win by the Texans would be disastrous for our exotic picks here. However, with the Houston defense already looking suspect before losing J.J. Watt, we should feel like we can get a backdoor cover late if needed here. The other leg of our teaser involves a fresh Cowboys team on the road off the bye getting the win against a struggling Giants team.
Other sides I’d consider using for a teaser if you like them include Washington up +15.5, Chicago up to +10.5, either side of Colts-Steelers to +6, Lions up to +8 and Seahawks down to pick ’em.
